Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 31, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 3Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, January 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, January 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Currently firing on all cylinders, Benfica have stamped their name as firm title contenders and will be looking to maintain their fine run of form. Looking at past results in this fixture, we are backing As Aguias to come out on top once again and end Arouca's unbeaten run in the league. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.21%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 6.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.25%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Benfica |
6.77% ( 0.17) | 13.02% ( 0.14) | 80.21% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 45.8% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
