Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw has a probability of 18.8% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.63%), while for an Arouca win it is 2-1 (4.32%).