Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 29, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Boavista
4 - 2
Portimonense

Njie (50', 81'), Onyemaechi (53'), Mangas (75')
Abascal (20'), Perez (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Moufi (55'), Estrela (83')
Pedrao (9'), Junior (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boavista

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Chaves
Monday, January 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 4-0 Portimonense
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Boavista 2-0 Portimonense

Following Monday's draw, Boavista are now unbeaten in six of their last seven home matches in the Primeira Liga and head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with the desired results. Petit's men face an out-of-sorts Portimonense side who have struggled for results on the road this season and we are backing them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Portimonense
50.71% ( 0.05)	26.11% ( -0.03)	23.18% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.76% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.57% (

0.1)

56.43% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.56% (

0.08)

77.44% (

-0.08)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67% (

0.06)

22.33% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.2% (

0.09)

55.8% (

-0.09)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.2% (

0.04)

39.8% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.53% (

0.03)

76.46% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Boavista 50.71%

Portimonense 23.18%

Draw 26.11%

Boavista	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 13.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.71%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.18%