Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
50.71% ( 0.05) | 26.11% ( -0.03) | 23.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.57% ( 0.1) | 56.43% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( 0.08) | 77.44% ( -0.08) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.06) | 22.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.2% ( 0.09) | 55.8% ( -0.09) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.2% ( 0.04) | 39.8% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.53% ( 0.03) | 76.46% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13.32% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.71% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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