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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Portimonense

Benfica
1 - 0
Portimonense

Mario (9' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nakamura (7'), Ouattara (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Benfica
Friday, December 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Portimonense

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-0 Portimonense

 Both teams will be keen to put aside their disappointing results last week and begin 2023 in positive fashion with a victory on Friday. Portimonense are sure to use last season's triumph at the Estadio da Luz as motivation for this contest, but we believe that Benfica will have too much quality for the visitors and should do enough to secure a routine win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPortimonense
77.74% (0.0010000000000048 0) 13.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 8.51% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.38% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.24% (0.21199999999999 0.21)30.76% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.89% (0.252 0.25)52.1% (-0.254 -0.25)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.62% (0.043000000000006 0.04)6.37% (-0.0461 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.08% (0.125 0.13)23.92% (-0.127 -0.13)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95% (0.204 0.2)44.05% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.168 0.17)80.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 77.74%
    Portimonense 8.51%
    Draw 13.76%
BenficaDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 9.76% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
4-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.51% (0.024 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 3.03% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.26% (0.022 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.39% (0.014 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 77.74%
1-1 @ 6.34% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 13.76%
1-2 @ 2.6% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 8.51%

How you voted: Benfica vs Portimonense

Benfica
85.1%
Draw
12.8%
Portimonense
2.1%
47
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Portimonense
1-2
Benfica
Junior (25')
Sergio (28'), Willyan (45+7'), Junior (45+8'), Da Costa (45+15'), Sergio (45+15'), Possignolo (63'), Luquinhas (74')
Moufi (90+5')
Grimaldo (45+7'), Ramos (50')
Vertonghen (41'), Ramos (57'), Bernardo (90+1')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Benfica
0-1
Portimonense

Yaremchuk (12'), Nunez (42')
Possignolo (66')
Boa Morte (44'), Carlinhos (60'), Possignolo (62'), Portugal (80'), Willyan (90')
Apr 22, 2021 7pm
Portimonense
1-5
Benfica
Beto (43')
Poha (72')
Pizzi (45+2'), Nunez (50'), Seferovic (64', 73'), Everton (90+4')
Gabriel (6'), Otamendi (78')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Benfica
2-1
Portimonense
Nunez (13'), Silva (23')
Otamendi (40'), Waldschmidt (59'), Taarabt (90+5')
Gilberto (90+2' og.)
Cande (30'), Willyan (34'), Moufi (54'), Beto (76')
Jun 10, 2020 7.15pm
Portimonense
2-2
Benfica
Dener (66'), Tavares (76')
Willyan (45'), Cande (52'), Possignolo (73'), Beto (86'), Hackman (86')
Pizzi (18'), Almeida (31')
Weigl (57'), Almeida (57'), Gabriel (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon55001921715
2Porto540193612
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes540162412
4Braga632184411
5Benfica531194510
6FamalicaoFamalicao531183510
7Santa ClaraSanta Clara53029819
8MoreirenseMoreirense521289-17
9AVS521267-17
10Gil Vicente513156-16
11Casa Pia520347-36
12Rio AveRio Ave520336-36
13BoavistaBoavista512234-15
14Estoril PraiaEstoril512225-35
15Nacional6114412-84
16AroucaArouca510428-63
17Estrela Amadora502338-52
18SC FarenseFarense5005212-100
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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