Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
53.56% (![]() | 21.98% (![]() | 24.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.14% (![]() | 37.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.88% (![]() | 60.12% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.77% (![]() | 14.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.03% (![]() | 41.97% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.52% (![]() | 28.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.75% (![]() | 64.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.9% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.56% | 1-1 @ 9.92% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 6.23% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 24.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |