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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Vizela

Moreirense
4 - 1
Vizela

Mane (8'), Jorge (16'), Lacerda (30'), Yan (66')
Amador (34'), Pacheco (75'), Conceicao (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Paulo (90+3')
Ofori (36'), Anderson (64'), Juliao (71')
Fernandes (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

Last Six:
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga

Vizela

Last Six:
Last Game: Moreirense 4-1 Vizela
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-1 Vizela

 Given the stakes of the game for Vizela, we expect them to come out guns blazing in search of all three points to leapfrog Tondela into the relegation playoff spot. They take on an opposing side who will be playing only for pride having recently confirmed their survival. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are tipping Moreirmse to come away with a slender win and complete a league double over the Vizelenses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawVizela
44.52% (0.431 0.43) 26.05% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 29.43% (-0.421 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.149 -0.15)52.14% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-0.129 -0.13)73.86% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.142 0.14)23.33% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.207 0.21)57.28% (-0.205 -0.2)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)32.22% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.437 -0.44)68.71% (0.438 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 44.51%
    Vizela 29.43%
    Draw 26.05%
MoreirenseDrawVizela
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 29.43%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3.30pm
Vizela
0-1
Moreirense

Kouao (90+6')
Martins (59')
Vitoria (62'), Jambor (81'), Kewin (89'), Soares (90+4'), Luis (90+4'), Pires (90+8')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara7502118315
5Braga7421124814
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
7FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10AVS7223610-48
11Gil Vicente7142712-57
12Rio AveRio Ave7214512-77
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15Estrela Amadora7124510-55
16BoavistaBoavista712438-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense7016213-111
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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