Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.