Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
38.23% ( 0.34) | 27.58% ( -0) | 34.19% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 48.95% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.24% ( -0.02) | 56.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.29% ( -0.01) | 77.71% ( 0.01) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.22% ( 0.19) | 28.78% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.38% ( 0.24) | 64.62% ( -0.24) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% ( -0.23) | 31.28% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.37% ( -0.26) | 67.63% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.74% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |