Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Famalicao |
65.22% ( 0.22) | 20.36% ( -0.09) | 14.43% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.22% ( 0.16) | 45.78% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.9% ( 0.15) | 68.1% ( -0.15) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.76% ( 0.11) | 13.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.99% ( 0.23) | 40.01% ( -0.23) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.28% ( -0.08) | 43.72% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.1% ( -0.07) | 79.9% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Famalicao |
2-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 65.21% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.36% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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