Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 25.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
48.91% ( -0.01) | 25.95% ( -0) | 25.13% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.12% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.67% ( 0.01) | 54.33% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( 0.01) | 75.71% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% | 22.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% ( 0) | 55.67% ( -0) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.16% ( 0.02) | 36.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.38% ( 0.02) | 73.62% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 25.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |