Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
43.23% ( -0.33) | 27.46% ( 0.12) | 29.3% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 47.7% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.4% ( -0.37) | 57.6% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% ( -0.29) | 78.37% ( 0.29) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( -0.34) | 26.41% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% ( -0.45) | 61.57% ( 0.45) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.81% ( -0.04) | 35.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.06% ( -0.04) | 71.93% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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