Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
43.23% ( -0.33) | 27.46% ( 0.12) | 29.3% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 47.7% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.4% ( -0.37) | 57.6% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% ( -0.29) | 78.37% ( 0.29) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( -0.34) | 26.41% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.43% ( -0.45) | 61.57% ( 0.45) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.81% ( -0.04) | 35.18% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.06% ( -0.04) | 71.93% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |