Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
44.19% ( 0.02) | 26.46% | 29.35% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.2% | 53.8% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.73% | 75.27% ( 0) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( 0.01) | 24.21% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.45% ( 0.02) | 58.55% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( -0.01) | 33.14% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( -0.02) | 69.74% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.18% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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