Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
78.59% ( 0.02) | 14.11% ( -0.01) | 7.3% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.35% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.43% | 37.57% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.2% | 59.8% ( 0) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.31% ( 0) | 7.69% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.58% ( 0.01) | 27.42% ( -0.01) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.05% ( -0.02) | 51.95% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.02% ( -0.02) | 85.98% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
2-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.72% 5-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 78.58% | 1-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.11% | 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 7.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |