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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 6, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Estoril

Braga
2 - 2
Estoril

Bruma (16', 56' pen.)
Martinez (52'), Arrey-Mbi (64'), Fernandez (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marques (68' pen.), Costa (82')
Bacher (54'), Costa (72'), Lacximicant (85'), Robles (90+3'), Carvalho (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 0-1 Braga
Sunday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, December 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Estoril Praia

Only Sporting have prevented Braga from securing maximum points in the Liga in the last four, and the hosts should return to winning ways in front of their fans against an Estoril side that are winless on their travels this term and through the calendar year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
64.23% (0.75000000000001 0.75) 19.19% (-0.162 -0.16) 16.57% (-0.592 -0.59)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.746 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.96% (-0.358 -0.36)36.04% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.86% (-0.392 -0.39)58.13% (0.389 0.39)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (0.084000000000003 0.08)10.62% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (0.19199999999999 0.19)34.43% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)34.9% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.954 -0.95)71.64% (0.95100000000001 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.23%
    Estoril Praia 16.57%
    Draw 19.19%
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.11% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.91% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.062 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 64.23%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 16.57%

How you voted: Braga vs Estoril

Braga
95.7%
Draw
2.2%
Estoril Praia
2.2%
46
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 29
Estoril
0-1
Braga
Djalo (64')
Carvalho (86')
Jan 27, 2024 7.45pm
Final
Braga
1-1
Estoril
(Aggregate 1-1 | Braga win 5-4 on penalties)
Horta (20')
Fonte (5'), Djalo (22'), Horta (64')
Cassiano (6' pen.)
Araujo (37'), Fernandes (43'), Pina (45+1'), Guitane (62'), Figueira (83'), Marques (90+5')
Dec 3, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
3-1
Estoril
Horta (31'), Banza (51'), Carne (90' og.)
Fonte (26'), Moutinho (76')
Guitane (24')
Pina (42'), Feltes (67')
Apr 8, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Braga
4-1
Estoril
Ruiz (17'), Pizzi (70'), Medeiros (82' pen.), Mendes (90+4')
Eduardo (48')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Estoril
0-2
Braga
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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