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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Farense logo

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Farense

Fernando (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Matias (24'), Muscat (40'), Duarte (75')
Muscat (90+5'), Mota (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Farense
Friday, January 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 2-1 SC Farense

Casa Pia and Farense suffered their first defeats of the year last weekend and will both be looking to bounce back at the Estadio Pina Manique. Casa Pia's home advantage gives them a slight edge and we fancy them to extend their winning streak against Mota's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawSC Farense
42.82% (-0.413 -0.41) 26.58% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 30.6% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 50.93% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)53.77% (0.276 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.233 -0.23)75.24% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)24.88% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)59.49% (0.466 0.47)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (0.084000000000003 0.08)32.21% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (0.096 0.1)68.7% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 42.81%
    SC Farense 30.6%
    Draw 26.57%
Casa PiaDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.81%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 30.6%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Farense
0-3
Casa Pia

Elbachir Belloumi (65'), Barbosa (90+2')
Clayton (15'), Roberto dos Santos (64'), Godwin (90' pen.)
Neto (45+3'), Batista (49'), Mukendi (74'), Zolotic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara7502118315
5Braga7421124814
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
7FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10AVS6213610-47
11Gil Vicente7142712-57
12Rio AveRio Ave7214512-77
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15Estrela Amadora7124510-55
16BoavistaBoavista712438-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110


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