Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | SC Farense |
42.82% ( -0.41) | 26.58% ( 0.1) | 30.6% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.24% ( -0.28) | 53.77% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( -0.23) | 75.24% ( 0.23) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.12% ( -0.33) | 24.88% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.51% ( -0.46) | 59.49% ( 0.47) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.79% ( 0.08) | 32.21% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.3% ( 0.1) | 68.7% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |