MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 02:17:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Portimonense

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Portimonense

Justo (55')
Justo (13'), Moreira (14'), Dias (42'), Geraldes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedrao (67'), Jasper (74'), Varela (90+3')
Cassama (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Braga
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Portimonense

Nothing seems to be clicking for Casa Pia at the moment, and their lack of goals this season does not bode well for their chances of avoiding the drop. Portimonense will be licking their lips at this one, knowing that their opponents are in a bad way. We are expecting a low-scoring affair here and feel as though the first goal could end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
45.52% (-0.109 -0.11) 26.21% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 28.26% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)53.36% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.058 -0.06)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23.38% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.118 -0.12)57.35% (0.118 0.12)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.028999999999996 0.03)33.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 45.52%
    Portimonense 28.26%
    Draw 26.21%
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Casa Pia
1-1
Portimonense
Soares (68')
Rochez (90+5')
Dec 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Portimonense
1-2
Casa Pia
Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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