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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
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Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Portimonense

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Portimonense

Justo (55')
Justo (13'), Moreira (14'), Dias (42'), Geraldes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedrao (67'), Jasper (74'), Varela (90+3')
Cassama (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Braga
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Portimonense

Nothing seems to be clicking for Casa Pia at the moment, and their lack of goals this season does not bode well for their chances of avoiding the drop. Portimonense will be licking their lips at this one, knowing that their opponents are in a bad way. We are expecting a low-scoring affair here and feel as though the first goal could end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
45.52% (-0.109 -0.11) 26.21% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 28.26% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)53.36% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.058 -0.06)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23.38% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.118 -0.12)57.35% (0.118 0.12)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.028999999999996 0.03)33.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 45.52%
    Portimonense 28.26%
    Draw 26.21%
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Casa Pia
1-1
Portimonense
Soares (68')
Rochez (90+5')
Dec 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Portimonense
1-2
Casa Pia
Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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