Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | SC Farense |
60.46% ( -0.42) | 20.83% ( 0.15) | 18.7% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.95% ( -0.22) | 40.04% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.59% ( -0.23) | 62.41% ( 0.23) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( -0.19) | 12.84% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.8% ( -0.39) | 39.2% ( 0.39) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( 0.17) | 34.96% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( 0.17) | 71.7% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.58% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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