Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
43.96% (![]() | 25.64% (![]() | 30.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.99% (![]() | 50.01% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.01% (![]() | 71.99% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% (![]() | 22.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% (![]() | 56.33% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% (![]() | 30.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% (![]() | 66.63% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 10.23% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 12.18% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.21% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |