Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 7.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.81%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
79.39% ( -0.05) | 13.31% ( 0.03) | 7.29% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.67% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.59% ( -0.12) | 33.41% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.81% ( -0.14) | 55.19% ( 0.14) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.38% ( -0.03) | 6.62% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.41% ( -0.09) | 24.59% ( 0.09) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.05% ( -0.05) | 48.95% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.08% ( -0.04) | 83.92% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
2-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 79.39% | 1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 13.31% | 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |