Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
46.59% (![]() | 24.83% (![]() | 28.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.5% (![]() | 47.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.29% (![]() | 69.71% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% (![]() | 20.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% (![]() | 52.9% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% (![]() | 30.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% (![]() | 66.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 9.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.33% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.59% | 1-1 @ 11.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.4% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |