Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 4-1 Chaves
Monday, September 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, September 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Porto
Friday, September 15 at 7.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, September 15 at 7.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Chaves 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Chaves have endured a horror start to the new campaign and will head into the weekend looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. However, the Flavienses take on an inexperienced Estrela side who have struggled for results on the road and we fancy them snapping their losing streak this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
46.59% ( -0.1) | 24.83% ( 0.02) | 28.58% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
