Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
38% ( 0.02) | 28.05% ( -0) | 33.95% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.46% ( 0.01) | 58.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% ( 0) | 79.11% ( -0) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% ( 0.02) | 29.77% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( 0.02) | 65.85% ( -0.02) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% ( -0.01) | 32.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( -0.01) | 68.84% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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