Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-3 Porto
Porto have not done things the easy way this season, but last season's runners-up should be able to get the better of Estrela Amadora, who are still adapting to life in the top flight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Porto |
11.8% ( -0) | 19.49% ( -0) | 68.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
