Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Portimonense |
34.31% ( -0.05) | 26.19% ( -0.02) | 39.5% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.36% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.82% ( 0.06) | 51.18% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.98% ( 0.06) | 73.02% ( -0.05) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% ( -0) | 28.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.81% ( -0) | 64.19% ( 0) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( 0.07) | 25.44% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( 0.09) | 60.26% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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