Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Estoril1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estoril
Wednesday, January 31 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Wednesday, January 31 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Given the stakes of the game, we anticipate a thrilling contest between the two sides who will be looking to avoid falling into the relegation dogfight. While they are evenly matched on paper, home advantage gives Estoril a slight edge and we fancy the them to claim all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 50.91%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
50.91% ( -0.1) | 23.28% ( 0.04) | 25.81% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
