Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.