Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 6, 2023 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
2 - 1
Vizela

Penetra (45+1'), Jaime (81')
Jaime (32'), Assuncao (62'), Colombatto (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bondoso (49')
Wilson (18'), Juliao (43'), Pereira (66'), Samu (72'), Claudemir (75'), Mendez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Famalicao
Friday, December 30 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Guimaraes
Friday, December 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela have been very solid defensively this season, and for that reason we expect them to keep a clean sheet, in a narrow victory on the road. Pacheco's side comfortably dispatched of Guimaraes last time out, a team that are far superior to Famalicao, and so they should be expected to make it three wins on the spin in the Primeira Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Vizela
52.83% ( 0.21)	24.05% ( -0.05)	23.12% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.48% (

0.06)

48.52% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.35% (

0.06)

70.65% (

-0.05)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

0.1)

18.32% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.59% (

0.17)

49.41% (

-0.17)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.56% (

-0.11)

35.44% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.8% (

-0.11)

72.2% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Famalicao 52.82%

Vizela 23.12%

Draw 24.05%

Famalicao	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.82%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.05%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.12%