Sporting Lisbon

2 - 1

Gil Vicente

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.