Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Mata Real
Pacos de Ferreira0 - 1Gil Vicente
We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente will head into the game in sky-high confidence following their impressive win over Famalicao last time out. They appear to have found their rhythm and we are tipping them to come away with all three points against an out-of-sorts Pacos de Ferreira side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 23.87% | 26.49% | 49.64% |
| Both teams to score 46.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
