Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
43.12% ( -0.14) | 26.74% ( 0.25) | 30.13% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 50.22% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.43% ( -1.02) | 54.57% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.08% ( -0.86) | 75.91% ( 0.85) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.91% ( -0.53) | 25.09% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.22% ( -0.73) | 59.78% ( 0.73) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% ( -0.61) | 32.96% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% ( -0.68) | 69.54% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |