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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Vizela

Arouca
5 - 0
Vizela

Mujica (11', 86'), Cristo (17' pen., 90+2'), Pereira (50' og.)
Montero (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pereira (13'), Escoval (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, January 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-5 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 3-1 Vizela

Arouca and Vizela head into the weekend off the back of contrasting results, with the Vizelenses looking to bounce back from their humbling defeat against Sporting Lisbon. However, we predict that Sousa's side will pick up where they left off against Estoril and secure a third win in five league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawVizela
31.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 27.5% (0.0010000000000012 0) 41.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)57.06% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)77.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)33.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)70.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 31.26%
    Vizela 41.23%
    Draw 27.5%
AroucaDrawVizela
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.26%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 11.84%
1-2 @ 8.44%
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.23%

How you voted: Arouca vs Vizela

Arouca
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Vizela
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
Vizela
1-0
Arouca
Galovic (76' og.)
Pereira (13'), Lacava (35')

Galovic (4')
Aug 20, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Vizela
2-2
Arouca
Samu (9' pen.), Essende (88')
Moreira (37'), Pereira (45+6'), Wilson (45+8'), Anderson (45'), Samu (89'), Ortiz (90+6'), Andre Santos Nascimento (90+6')
Silva (57')
Cristo (39'), Mujica (64')
Esgaio (42'), Cristo (45+6'), Sylla (45+2'), Santos (45+8'), Quaresma (74'), Busquets (83')
Rocha (8')
Apr 23, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 29
Arouca
1-0
Vizela
Sylla (12' pen.)
Nov 5, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Vizela
0-1
Arouca
Antony (3')
Apr 22, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Vizela
2-1
Arouca
Schettine (38', 72')
Cassiano (15'), Mendez (52'), Ofori (64'), Claudemir (90+5')
Ruiz (49')
Ruiz (20')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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