Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
38.52% ( -0.02) | 25.45% ( 0) | 36.04% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.24% ( -0.01) | 47.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.05% ( -0.01) | 69.95% ( 0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( -0.01) | 24.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% ( -0.02) | 58.83% ( 0.02) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( 0) | 25.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( 0) | 60.72% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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