Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
We said: Gil Vicente 1-3 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes have enjoyed an impressive campaign and will be dreaming of securing a return to Europe. Gil Vincente have hit their stride in recent weeks, but while we expect the Gilistas to put up a fight, we fancy Pacheco's men to come away with the desired result.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.52% . A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.26%) . The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result Gil Vicente Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.52% ( -0.02) 25.45% ( 0) 36.04% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.01)
52.24% ( -0.01) 47.76% ( 0.01)
30.05% ( -0.01) 69.95% ( 0.01)
75.59% ( -0.01) 24.41% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.17% ( -0.02) 58.83% ( 0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
74.23% ( 0) 25.77% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.28% ( 0) 60.72% ( -0)
Gil Vicente 38.52%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.04%
Draw 25.44%
Gil Vicente Draw Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.52% 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.04%
How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Guimaraes
Gil Vicente
Draw
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
60.0%
35
rhs 2.0
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