Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
41.42% ( -0.07) | 25.05% ( -0.02) | 33.54% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% ( 0.11) | 46.37% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( 0.11) | 68.65% ( -0.11) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.02) | 22.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.2% ( 0.02) | 55.8% ( -0.03) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.41% ( 0.11) | 26.59% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.19% ( 0.14) | 61.81% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |