Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw has a probability of 18.4% and a win for Moreirense has a probability of 11.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-2 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.99%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Moreirense win it is 1-0 (4.02%).
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
11.15% ( -0.72) | 18.35% ( -0.77) | 70.49% ( 1.49) |
Both teams to score 45.73% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% ( 1.5) | 44.74% ( -1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 1.43) | 67.1% ( -1.44) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.64% ( -0.32) | 48.35% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.51% ( -0.23) | 83.49% ( 0.23) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.55% ( 0.84) | 11.45% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.74% ( 1.79) | 36.26% ( -1.79) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.5% Total : 11.15% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.66% Total : 18.35% | 0-2 @ 13% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 9.39% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 5.09% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 2.21% ( 0.21) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.41% Total : 70.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |