Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto5 - 0Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Moreirense
Saturday, January 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Porto 3-1 Moreirense
Despite their impressive display against Estoril, Moreirense will need to be at their best as they face a sterner challenge in Porto. Conceicao's men have been near impenetrable at home all season and we are backing them to pick up a seventh consecutive victory at the Estadio do Dragao. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
66.63% ( 0.31) | 20.1% ( -0.21) | 13.26% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.56% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
