Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 15.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.35%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.27% | 22.13% | 62.59% |
Both teams to score 45.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.57% | 51.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% | 73.24% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.03% | 45.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.3% | 81.69% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.1% | 15.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.87% | 45.12% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.68% 2-1 @ 4.06% 2-0 @ 2.21% 3-1 @ 1.05% 3-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.27% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.65% Total : 22.13% | 0-1 @ 13.43% 0-2 @ 12.35% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-3 @ 7.58% 1-3 @ 5.89% 0-4 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-5 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.05% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 1.92% Total : 62.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |