Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Jan 10, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
0 - 2
Pacos de Ferreira

Ramires (84'), Cardoso (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Costa (12' pen.), Diaby-Fadiga (90+1')
Eustaquio (84'), Pedro (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
26.23%	28.26%	45.51%

Both teams to score 43.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.28%

61.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.47%

81.53%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.02%

39.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.36%

76.63%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85%

27.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46%

62.54%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 26.23%

Pacos de Ferreira 45.51%

Draw 28.25%

Belenenses	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 5.95% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.38% Total : 26.23%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 14.15% 0-2 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-3 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.31% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.79% Total : 45.51%