Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
26.23% | 28.26% | 45.51% |
Both teams to score 43.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.28% | 61.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.47% | 81.53% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.02% | 39.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.36% | 76.63% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% | 27.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.46% | 62.54% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 9.95% 2-1 @ 5.95% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-0 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.38% Total : 26.23% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 14.15% 0-2 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-3 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.31% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.79% Total : 45.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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