Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Jul 4, 2020 at 7.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Willyan (47')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duarte (67')
Ouattara (82')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
24.39%	24.02%	51.59%

Both teams to score 54.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84%

47.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6%

69.4%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43%

33.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78%

70.21%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72%

18.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66%

49.34%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 24.39%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.58%

Draw 24.02%

Portimonense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 3.66% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.39%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-2 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.58%