Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.