Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.