Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
