Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 23, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Silva (63' pen.)
Ribeiro (20'), Borevkovic (30'), Varela (86'), Carlos (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nobrega (26'), Aderlan (60'), Graca (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Rio Ave

Vitoria Guimaraes have already shown this season that they are able to compete with the best on their day, as they did when they beat Sporting at this venue a couple of weeks ago. While Rio Ave have been difficult to beat lately, we feel that they will struggle to get anything from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Rio Ave
53.44% ( 0.04)	24.16% ( -0.02)	22.4% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.31% (

0.08)

49.68% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3% (

0.08)

71.7% (

-0.07)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48% (

0.05)

18.52% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.24% (

0.08)

49.75% (

-0.08)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.23% (

0.03)

36.76% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.45% (

0.03)

73.55% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.44%

Rio Ave 22.4%

Draw 24.15%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.44%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 22.4%