Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave2 - 2Famalicao
We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao
Neither side has anything serious to play for on Friday evening, but it should still be a competitive match between two out-of-form sides. A draw would not be a bad result for either under the circumstances, and we are expecting the points to be shared at Estadio dos Arcos. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
39.5% ( -1.22) | 29.12% ( 0.93) | 31.38% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 43.98% ( -2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
