Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
We say: Porto 2-0 Famalicao (Porto to win 4-1 on aggregate)
With just a single goal between them from the first leg, there is very little to split the teams heading into this one, which promises to be closely contested.
However, while Famalicao will be sure to provide a stern test for their opponents, it is likely that Porto will have too much quality in this match.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.1% . A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.99% .
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 3-0 (10.37%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%) , while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.15%) .
Result Porto Draw Famalicao 75.1% ( -0.83) 15.91% ( 0.43) 8.99% ( 0.4)
Both teams to score 45.79% ( 0.24)
59.9% ( -0.65) 40.1% ( 0.66)
37.53% ( -0.68) 62.47% ( 0.68)
90.93% ( -0.35) 9.07% ( 0.35)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 69.16% ( -0.85) 30.84% ( 0.85)
50.36% ( 0.45) 49.64% ( -0.45)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 15.59% ( 0.31) 84.41% ( -0.31)
Porto 75.08%
Famalicao 8.99%
Draw 15.91%
Porto Draw Famalicao 2-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.66% Total : 75.08% 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.91% 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 8.99%
How you voted: Porto vs Famalicao
45
rhs 2.0
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