Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
3 - 2
Famalicao

Galeno (28' pen.), Otavio (120+1'), Evanilson (120+4')
Pepe (30'), Conceicao (89'), Otavio (120+3')
Conceicao (120+3'), Conceicao (120+3')

FT
(aet)

Cadiz (21'), Jaime (75')
Dobre (26'), Colombatto (39'), Rodrigues (83'), Mihaj (100'), Penetra (108'), Moura (110'), Denilson (112')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Porto and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Porto 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, April 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Famalicao

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, April 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We say: Porto 2-0 Famalicao (Porto to win 4-1 on aggregate)

With just a single goal between them from the first leg, there is very little to split the teams heading into this one, which promises to be closely contested. However, while Famalicao will be sure to provide a stern test for their opponents, it is likely that Porto will have too much quality in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.15%).

Result
Porto	Draw	Famalicao
75.1% ( -0.83)	15.91% ( 0.43)	8.99% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 45.79% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.9% (

-0.65)

40.1% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

-0.68)

62.47% (

0.68)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.93% (

-0.35)

9.07% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.16% (

-0.85)

30.84% (

0.85)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.36% (

0.45)

49.64% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.59% (

0.31)

84.41% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Porto 75.08%

Famalicao 8.99%

Draw 15.91%

Porto	Draw	Famalicao
2-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.66% Total : 75.08%	1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.91%	0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 8.99%