MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:14:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Famalicao logo

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Famalicao

Morita (18'), Esgaio (60')
Ugarte (45+1'), Chermiti (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coates (69' og.)
Sa (45+3'), Riccieli (61'), Assuncao (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Porto
Wednesday, April 26 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Famalicao

While Famalicao's cup dreams suffered a huge blow, they have put together some late-season form in the league as they make a late push for European football. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we fancy Sporting Lisbon to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawFamalicao
75.79% (0.806 0.81) 15.67% (-0.289 -0.29) 8.53% (-0.5189 -0.52)
Both teams to score 44.62% (-1.274 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (-0.419 -0.42)40.54% (0.416 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (-0.432 -0.43)62.92% (0.43 0.43)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.082999999999998 0.08)9.02% (-0.086 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.29% (0.20400000000001 0.2)30.71% (-0.209 -0.21)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.04% (-1.446 -1.45)50.96% (1.443 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.69% (-0.996 -1)85.31% (0.99300000000001 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 75.77%
    Famalicao 8.53%
    Draw 15.67%
Sporting LisbonDrawFamalicao
2-0 @ 13.29% (0.35 0.35)
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 10.66% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.19% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 6.42% (0.222 0.22)
4-1 @ 4.33% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.09% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.131 -0.13)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 75.77%
1-1 @ 7.45% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.67%
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 8.53%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao

Sporting Lisbon
97.0%
Draw
3.0%
Famalicao
0.0%
33
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 13
Famalicao
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Jaime (78')
Trincao (42'), Goncalves (45+3' pen.)
Ugarte (21')
Feb 6, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 21
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Famalicao
Sarabia (6' pen.), Reis (63')
Feddal (45+3'), Porro (56')

Alex (45+3'), Pickel (74')
Oct 26, 2021 9.15pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Famalicao
Ugarte (8'), Santos (61')
Vinagre (28'), Cabral (48'), Neto (54')
Tavares (89')
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 4
Famalicao
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Mendes (68' og.)
Pepe (3'), Pickel (12'), Figueiras (90+1')
Palhinha (82')
Esgaio (4'), Palhinha (14'), Mendes (40'), Goncalves (75'), Tabata (90+6')
Apr 11, 2021 8pm
gameweek 26
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Famalicao
Goncalves (25')
Palhinha (10'), Antunes (51'), Porro (58')
Silva (27')
Patrick (53'), Riccieli (69'), Lucio Reis Junior (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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