Sporting Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, April 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Famalicao
While Famalicao's cup dreams suffered a huge blow, they have put together some late-season form in the league as they make a late push for European football. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we fancy Sporting Lisbon to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 3-0 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Famalicao |
75.79% ( 0.81) | 15.67% ( -0.29) | 8.53% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.46% ( -0.42) | 40.54% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( -0.43) | 62.92% ( 0.43) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( 0.08) | 9.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.29% ( 0.2) | 30.71% ( -0.21) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.04% ( -1.45) | 50.96% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.69% ( -1) | 85.31% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.58% Total : 75.77% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.67% | 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.88% Total : 8.53% |
