Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
42.97% ( 0.01) | 27.25% | 29.78% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.56% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.38% ( -0.01) | 56.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.41% ( -0.01) | 77.59% ( 0.01) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0) | 26.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( -0) | 61.15% ( -0) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.7% ( -0.01) | 34.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29% ( -0.01) | 71% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
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