Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave1 - 2Porto
We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Porto
Porto have started the season very well and are one of just four sides that have a 100% win record after the first two matchdays. They will want to take the lead in the league at the soonest and we expect them to secure the points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
23.6% ( 0.12) | 25.82% ( 0.13) | 50.58% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 48% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
