Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
23.6% ( 0.12) | 25.82% ( 0.13) | 50.58% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 48% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.97% ( -0.38) | 55.03% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.7% ( -0.31) | 76.3% ( 0.32) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.39% ( -0.1) | 38.61% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.65% ( -0.1) | 75.36% ( 0.1) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% ( -0.26) | 21.8% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.99% ( -0.4) | 55.01% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.6% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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