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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Rio Ave

Porto
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Martinez (44')
Mario (65'), Pepe (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ronaldo (32'), Pantalon (44'), Pereira (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Porto
Sunday, February 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Estoril
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Rio Ave

 While Rio Ave will be looking to build on Monday's victory, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Porto side who have won their last nine matches across all competitions. The Dragoes have made their home ground a fortress and we are tipping them to pick up an eighth straight home win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 81.25%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 5.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.13%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawRio Ave
81.25% (-0.75200000000001 -0.75) 12.79% (0.446 0.45) 5.96% (0.3059 0.31)
Both teams to score 41.63% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.22% (-0.835 -0.84)36.77% (0.835 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (-0.912 -0.91)58.94% (0.912 0.91)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.04% (-0.33 -0.33)6.96% (0.3291 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.5% (-0.88199999999999 -0.88)25.49% (0.882 0.88)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.74% (0.39400000000001 0.39)55.25% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.96% (0.231 0.23)88.03% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Porto 81.24%
    Rio Ave 5.96%
    Draw 12.79%
PortoDrawRio Ave
2-0 @ 13.65% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 12.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.139 0.14)
4-0 @ 8.09% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 4.8% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-0 @ 4.31% (-0.215 -0.22)
5-1 @ 2.56% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.025 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 81.24%
1-1 @ 6.08% (0.211 0.21)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.155 0.16)
2-2 @ 2.4% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 12.79%
0-1 @ 2.28% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 1.8% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 5.96%

How you voted: Porto vs Rio Ave

Porto
93.5%
Draw
2.2%
Rio Ave
4.3%
46
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 8.30pm
Rio Ave
3-1
Porto
Yakubu (22', 43'), Amaral (33')
Gomes (76')
Martinez (90+3')
Taremi (49'), Veron (85')
Dec 15, 2021 9pm
Porto
1-0
Rio Ave
Pepe (83')
Costa (69')

Ukra (66')
May 15, 2021 8.30pm
Rio Ave
0-3
Porto

Borevkovic (31'), Amaral (83'), Gabrielzinho (86')
Martinez (56'), Diaz (59'), Oliveira (68')
Uribe (88')
Feb 1, 2021 7pm
Porto
2-0
Rio Ave
Diaz (44'), Evanilson (74')
Uribe (78')

Jeronimo (38'), Pinto (72')
Mar 7, 2020 8.30pm
Porto
1-1
Rio Ave
Mbemba (18')
Telles (34')
Taremi (32')
Figueiras (29'), Borevkovic (59'), Aderlan (87'), Amaral (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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