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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 8, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Porto

Arouca
0 - 1
Porto


Sylla (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marcano (44')
Otavio (31'), Marcano (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Friday, April 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-2 Famalicao
Thursday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Arouca 0-2 Porto

 Coming up against an Arouca defence that have proven incredibly difficult to break down is the last thing that the doctor ordered for a tired Porto side, but the hosts have lost some of their defensive nous with skipper Basso absent. While it may ultimately not be enough to see them retain their crown, a rejigged Porto side should still run out comfortable winners on Monday, delaying Benfica's expected coronation that little bit longer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.48%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
AroucaDrawPorto
12.59% (0.341 0.34) 20.74% (0.492 0.49) 66.67% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 42.83% (-0.455 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (-1.19 -1.19)51.19% (1.19 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (-1.05 -1.05)73.03% (1.05 1.05)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.1% (-0.16 -0.16)49.9% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.41% (-0.111 -0.11)84.59% (0.11099999999999 0.11)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)14.5% (0.634 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (-1.237 -1.24)42.5% (1.237 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 12.59%
    Porto 66.66%
    Draw 20.74%
AroucaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 3.38% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 1.75% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 12.59%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.339 0.34)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.74%
0-1 @ 13.97% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 13.48% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 8.68% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.04% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-4 @ 4.19% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.62% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 66.66%

How you voted: Arouca vs Porto

Arouca
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
Porto
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8.45pm
Round of 16
Porto
4-0
Arouca
Galeno (31'), Martinez (54', 57', 90+3')

Simao (17'), Antony (18'), Quaresma (90')
Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm
gameweek 14
Porto
5-1
Arouca
Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)
Bruninho (75')
Ruiz (36')
Feb 6, 2022 6pm
gameweek 21
Arouca
0-2
Porto

Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')
Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')
Aug 28, 2021 6pm
gameweek 4
Porto
3-0
Arouca
Uribe (24'), Taremi (34'), Marcano (63')
Mario (45+2'), Costa (51'), Diaz (59'), Uribe (67')

Miguel Pereira Da Silva (25'), Quaresma Correia (83'), Dabbagh (88')
Mar 10, 2017 8.30pm
Arouca
0-4
Porto

Valente (84'), Jubal (89')
Pereira (15'), Soares (25', 87'), Jota (72')
Pereira (83'), Andre (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara7502118315
5Braga7421124814
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
7FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10AVS7223610-48
11Gil Vicente7142712-57
12Rio AveRio Ave7214512-77
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15Estrela Amadora7124510-55
16BoavistaBoavista712438-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense7016213-111
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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