Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 29, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 1
Porto

Boateng (83')
Boateng (13'), Gonzalez (17'), Babi (61'), Bobsin (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cardoso (3')
Evanilson (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Santa Clara
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Brugge 0-4 Porto
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Santa Clara 0-2 Porto

While Santa Clara will be looking to build on last week's victory over Vizela, they face a rampant Porto side who will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence, following their Champions League win in Bruges. We predict a one-sided affair at the Estadio de Sao Miguel with the visitors easing to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Porto
11.84% ( -0.02)	19.08% ( 0.01)	69.08% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.61% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.85% (

-0.08)

46.15% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

-0.07)

68.44% (

0.07)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.97% (

-0.08)

48.03% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.75% (

-0.06)

83.25% (

0.06)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.76% (

-0.02)

12.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.05% (

-0.04)

37.95% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 11.84%

Porto 69.06%

Draw 19.08%

Santa Clara	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 11.84%	1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.08%	0-2 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.77% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 69.06%