Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Sep 30, 2022 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
4 - 1
Braga

Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
Carmo (29'), Costa (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pepe (55' og.)
Medeiros (23'), Silva (38'), Sequeira (40'), Horta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-1 Porto
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, September 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

With just three points and one place separating Porto and Braga in the upper echelons of the standings, we anticipate a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to each other in a bid to come out on top. Braga head into the weekend as the more in-form side and we are tipping them to edge out the hosts and maintain their 100% record away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Braga
62.26%	20.43% ( -0)	17.31% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.44% (

0.01)

40.56% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06% (

0.01)

62.94% (

-0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

12.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.53% (

38.46% (

-0)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.18% (

0.01)

36.81% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.4% (

0.01)

73.6% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Porto 62.26%

Braga 17.31%

Draw 20.43%

Porto	Draw	Braga
2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.62% Total : 62.26%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.43%	1-2 @ 4.78% 0-1 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.31%