Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Famalicao |
28.61% ( 0.03) | 26.65% ( 0.02) | 44.75% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 49.7% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.15% ( -0.07) | 54.85% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.85% ( -0.06) | 76.15% ( 0.06) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.74% ( -0.01) | 34.26% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.04% ( -0.01) | 70.96% ( 0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -0.06) | 24.4% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -0.08) | 58.83% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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